Catálogo Biblioteca Central

Portada local
Portada local

Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner

Por: Colaborador(es): Tipo de material: TextoDetalles de publicación: London : RH books, 2016Edición: 1st edDescripción: 340 p. gráf. 20 cmISBN:
  • 978-1-847-94715-4
Tema(s): Resumen: Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?
Tipo de ítem: Libros
Existencias
Imagen de cubierta Tipo de ítem Biblioteca actual Biblioteca de origen Colección Ubicación en estantería Signatura topográfica Materiales especificados Info Vol URL Copia número Estado Notas Fecha de vencimiento Código de barras Reserva de ítems Prioridad de la cola de reserva de ejemplar Reservas para cursos
Biblioteca Central del Ministerio de la Presidencia Sala 59062 Disponible 1071258
Total de reservas: 0

Índice analítico

Incluye referencias bibliográficas

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?

Haga clic en una imagen para verla en el visor de imágenes

Portada local