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040			_cES-MaBCM
100	1		_9127406 _aDetges, Adrien
245	1	2	_aA conceptual model of climate change and human mobility interactions _h[Recurso electrónico] _bAdrien Detges, Emily Wright and Tobias Bernstein
260			_aBerlin _b : adelphi _c, 2022
300			_a40 p. _b : graf.
490	0		_aHabitable research paper _vD7.1
504			_aBibliografía: p. 33-39
520			_aThis paper presents a conceptual model of climate change and human mobility in-teractions. The model is meant to guide a scenario planning exercise with stakehold-ers and decision makers as part of the HABITABLE project. It builds mostly on a review of relevant literature and qualitative assumptions based on expert elicitation that are elaborated in the remaining text. Its purpose is to determine central variables and dimensions along which scenarios on climate change and human mobility will be de-veloped in the next stage of the HABITABLE project (see box below). The scenario planning exercise conducted in HABITABLE complements other work in the project in that it conceptualises the inherent uncertainty of future climate-migra-tion dynamics and the social, ecological, economic, political and other factors that shape them. The goal is not to predict the future or discuss the probability of specific events, but rather to envision different plausible possibilities in order to facilitate stra-tegic planning and adaptation. The exercise aims to produce intuitive narratives that will make it easier to engage non-expert audiences.
650		0	_aCambio climático _9126478
650		7	_aMigración _959416
650		7	_aGeografía humana _958806
700	1		_9127407 _aWright, Emily
700	1		_9127408 _aBernstein, Tobias
710	2		_951907 _aFundación CIDOB
856			_uhttps://mpr.orex.es/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=0e2573ffbce021b5425b7f3c5dcf1ea7 _yDESCARGAR DOCUMENTO
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