000			02600nam a2200277 i 4500
001			202915
003			ES-MaBCM
005			20250327062531.0
008			161004t2016 us||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a978-0-19-877870-7
021			_axx
035			_a(OCoLC)962503583
040			_cES-MaBCM
100	1		_aGray, Colin S. _920239
245	1	0	_aStrategy and defence planning _b: meeting the challenge of uncertainty _cColin S. Gray
250			_a1st. published in paperback
260			_aNew York : _bOxford University Press, _c2016
300			_aVIII, 225 p. _c24 cm
500			_aÍndice analítico
504			_aBibliografía: p.[209]-219
520			_aStrategy and Defence Planning: Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty explores and examines why and how security communities prepare purposefully for their future defence. The author explains that defence planning is the product of interplay among political process, historical experience, and the logic of strategy. The theory of strategy best reveals both the nature and the working of defence planning. Political 'ends', strategic 'ways', and military 'means' all fed by reigning, if not always recognized, assumptions, organize the subject well with a template that can serve any time, place, and circumstance. The book is designed to help understanding of what can appear to be a forbiddingly complex as well as technical subject. A good part of the problem for officials charged with defence planning duties is expressed in the second part of the book's title. The real difficulty, which rarely is admitted by those tasked with defence planning duty, is that defence planning can only be guesswork. But, because defence preparation is always expensive, not untypically is politically unpopular, yet obviously can be supremely important, claims to knowledge about the truly unknowable persist. In truth, we cannot do defence planning competently, because our ignorance of the future precludes understanding of what our society will be shown by future events to need. The challenge faced by the author was to identify ways in which our problems with the inability to know the future in any detail in advance-the laws of nature, in other words-may best be met and mitigated. Professor Gray argues that our understanding of human nature, of politics, and of strategic history, does allow us to make prudent choices in defence planning that hopefully will prove 'good enough'.
650	2	7	_aSeguridad internacional _960206
650	1	0	_aPolítica de defensa _9119179
650	2	7	_aToma de decisiones _958225
942			_cBK _2udc
999			_c202915 _d202915